More arguments against
A summary of rules, not a profit forecast — don’t buy just because of a green verdict.
🟡 Valuation- ▲ Forward P/E 11.1 is below the current one — earnings growth expected
🟡 Quality- ▲ ROE 28% — high return on equity
- ▼ Net margin fell: 51.0% → 17.5%
- ▲ Free cash flow positive every year
🔴 Growth- ▼ Earnings per share falls -27.6% per year (3 y)
🔴 Trend- ▼ Over 6 mo weaker than its sector (XLV) by 33%
- ▼ Price below SMA200 — long-term downtrend
- ▼ SMA50 below SMA200 — trend down
- ▼ Over a year +5% vs S&P 500 +11% — weaker than the market
🔴 Risk · context, does not vote- ▼ Risk/reward 1:0.8 — the target is closer than the stop
- ▼ Volatility 46% per year — much higher than the market (13%)
- ▼ Max drawdown in the period -53% — deep
🟢 Market · context, does not vote- ▲ S&P 500 above SMA200 — the market is in an uptrend
- ▲ Sector (XLV) above SMA200 — in an uptrend
- ▲ Sector (XLV) over 3 mo is stronger than the market by 11%
The PWA verdict uses less data than the full version: without the history of multiples and peers, F-score, Altman, interest coverage, dividend streak and expected earnings move.