ASML · Verdict
Mixed arguments
A summary of rules, not a profit forecast — don’t buy just because of a green verdict.
🟡 Valuation- ▲ Forward P/E 24.9 is below the current one — earnings growth expected
🟢 Quality- ▲ ROE 66% — high return on equity
- ▲ Net margin rose: 26.6% → 29.4%
- ▲ Debt / equity 0.22 — moderate debt
- ▲ Free cash flow positive every year
🟢 Growth- ▲ Revenue grows 15.6% per year (3 y)
- ▲ Earnings per share grows 15.4% per year (3 y)
- ▲ Analysts raised the earnings forecast by +8.3% in 90 days
🟡 Trend- ▼ Price below SMA200 — long-term downtrend
- ▲ SMA50 above SMA200 — trend up
- ▲ Over a year +46% vs S&P 500 +11% — stronger than the market
🔴 Risk · context, does not vote- ▲ Risk/reward 1:4.5 — the target is farther than the stop
- ▼ Volatility 47% per year — much higher than the market (13%)
- ▼ Max drawdown in the period -57% — deep
🟢 Sentiment- ▲ Consensus of 17 analysts — buy
- ▲ Mean analyst target +37% from the current price
🟢 Market · context, does not vote- ▲ S&P 500 above SMA200 — the market is in an uptrend
- ▲ Sector (XLK) above SMA200 — in an uptrend
The PWA verdict uses less data than the full version: without the history of multiples and peers, F-score, Altman, interest coverage, dividend streak and expected earnings move.