ARM · Verdict
Mixed arguments
A summary of rules, not a profit forecast — don’t buy just because of a green verdict.
🟡 Valuation- ▲ Forward P/E 67.2 is below the current one — earnings growth expected
🟡 Quality- ▼ Debt up 107% in 3 y
- ▼ Net margin fell: 19.6% → 18.4%
- ▲ Debt / equity 0.06 — moderate debt
- ▲ Free cash flow positive every year
🟢 Growth- ▲ Revenue grows 22.5% per year (3 y)
- ▲ Earnings per share grows 18.5% per year (3 y)
🟡 Trend- ▼ Over 6 mo weaker than its sector (XLK) by 15%
- ▼ Price below SMA200 — long-term downtrend
- ▲ SMA50 above SMA200 — trend up
- ▲ Over a year +24% vs S&P 500 +11% — stronger than the market
🔴 Risk · context, does not vote- ▼ Earnings in 3 d — the price may move sharply
- ▼ Risk/reward 1:0.6 — the target is closer than the stop
- ▼ Volatility 80% per year — much higher than the market (13%)
- ▼ Max drawdown in the period -54% — deep
- ▼ Beta 3.79 — moves more than the market
- ▼ 12% of float is short — many bet on a decline
🟢 Sentiment- ▲ Consensus of 40 analysts — buy
- ▲ Mean analyst target +41% from the current price
- ▲ Insiders buying over 6 mo
🟢 Market · context, does not vote- ▲ S&P 500 above SMA200 — the market is in an uptrend
- ▲ Sector (XLK) above SMA200 — in an uptrend
The PWA verdict uses less data than the full version: without the history of multiples and peers, F-score, Altman, interest coverage, dividend streak and expected earnings move.