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A probabilistic estimate from history and market opinion, not a guarantee and not investment advice.
| Pessimistic | Base | Optimistic | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock history (any 12 months) | 171.59 (-16.7%) | 251.55 (+22.1%) | 522.68 (+153.8%) |
| Volatility (8 of 10 cases) | 73.56 (-64.3%) | 205.97 (+0.0%) | 576.73 (+180.0%) |
| Analysts’ targets | 125 (-39.3%) | 290.71 (+41.1%) | 500 (+142.8%) |
History since 2023; now 205.97. The wider the range, the less predictable the stock.
Today’s state: below SMA200 · SMA50 > SMA200 · RSI neutral
| Horizon | Rose after this state | Rose at any time | Avg change | Cases | 95% | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | 57.1% | 48.1% | 1.6% | 7 | 25%–84% | weak signal (few cases) |
| 3 months | 60.0% | 44.4% | 9.9% | 5 | 23%–88% | weak signal (few cases) |
| 1 year | 100.0% | 50.0% | 59.4% | 2 | 34%–100% | weak signal (few cases) |